– US Politics: Donald Trump’s re-election will likely dominate the global political landscape. Expect a renewed focus on “America First” policies, which may lead to increased tensions with traditional allies and adversaries alike.
– Global Governance: The expanded G20 forum, hosted by South Africa in November, will provide a platform for Africa’s voice to be amplified on the global stage. This presents an opportunity for institutional reform and expanded African inclusion in global governance.
– Climate Change: COP30 in Brazil will be a pivotal moment in the fight against climate change. Expect increased pressure on countries to enact their plans to support global climate efforts and for the private sector to step up its decarbonization plans.
– International Law: The International Criminal Court’s arrest warrants for serving heads of state, including Vladimir Putin and Benjamin Netanyahu, will be a major focus in 2025. Watch for which countries will enforce the court’s decisions and restrict travel for these leaders.
– European Security: NATO and the EU will face significant challenges in 2025, including maintaining alliance cohesion and adapting to an increasingly hostile security environment. Britain’s role in European security will also be a major focus.
– Africa’s Elections: Key elections in Malawi, Tanzania, and Côte d’Ivoire will serve as critical tests for democracy in Africa.
– Russia-Ukraine Conflict: The conflict in Ukraine will continue to escalate, with reduced military assistance from the West and an emboldened Russia. Watch for a potential compromise deal that could freeze the conflict rather than resolve it.
